Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | ferran relat | 7-1 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Meta Performance Analysis
Hellspark Elemental ranks #1715 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 33%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Hellspark Elemental is a decent card with average performance in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 0.00 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Hellspark Elemental has a win rate of 60.5%, making it 27.4% better than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soul-Scar Mage | Creature — Human Wizard | 5 | 60.0% | 0 |
| Lava Spike | Sorcery — Arcane | 6 | 59.4% | 0 |
| Rift Bolt | Sorcery | 7 | 55.7% | 0 |
| Monastery Swiftspear | Creature — Human Monk | 7 | 55.7% | 0 |
| Searing Blood | Instant | 5 | 55.0% | 0 |
| Skewer the Critics | Sorcery | 5 | 54.7% | 0 |
| Bonecrusher Giant | Creature — Giant | 5 | 54.7% | 0 |
| Rampaging Ferocidon | Creature — Dinosaur | 5 | 54.7% | 0 |
| Skullcrack | Instant | 5 | 54.7% | 0 |
| Exquisite Firecraft | Sorcery | 7 | 54.5% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Hellspark Elemental than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rift Bolt | Sorcery | 3 | 5 | 61.3% | 57.9% | +3.4% |
| Monastery Swiftspear | Creature — Human Monk | 1 | 5 | 61.3% | 58.7% | +2.6% |
| Chain Lightning | Sorcery | 1 | 5 | 61.3% | 58.7% | +2.6% |
| Searing Spear | Instant | 2 | 5 | 61.3% | 58.9% | +2.3% |
| Lightning Bolt | Instant | 1 | 6 | 60.5% | 58.3% | +2.2% |
| Sulfuric Vortex | Enchantment | 3 | 5 | 61.3% | 59.1% | +2.2% |
| Zurgo Bellstriker | Legendary Creature — Orc Warrior | 1 | 5 | 61.3% | 60.1% | +1.2% |
| Ball Lightning | Creature — Elemental | 3 | 5 | 59.5% | 59.0% | +0.4% |
| Burst Lightning | Instant | 1 | 5 | 53.3% | 57.2% | -3.9% |
| Goblin Guide | Creature — Goblin Scout | 1 | 5 | 53.3% | 58.6% | -5.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | 9 | 2.1% | 52.5% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.